Aggregating recommendations across live detectors
The dataset shows 50 federal contracts where the current value is ≥3× the original commitment, totalling $5.6B in current spend. 50 are in the highest severity band (≥10× growth). Departments with formal amendment-cap policies (typically 2× or 1.5× over a multi-year window) would surface these for re-procurement before the threshold is crossed. The recommendation is grounded in 50 pattern-detector matches across the federal corpus. Each cited match links back to specific source rows; an auditor walking the citation can verify every dollar in the headline.
Recoverable / prevention rate (8.0%) and indirect-cost rate (1.2%) are calibrated category-level defaults grounded in published auditor benchmarks. Implementation cost is a calibrated point estimate based on category complexity. Funders should refine all three with their own historical recovery data.
Procurement-policy non-compliance — amendments crossing the cap without re-tender invite Treasury Board scrutiny and Procurement Ombudsman review.
Departments accumulate amendments without competitive refresh; supplier relationships outgrow the original justification and procurement velocity slows.
Auditor General reports on amendment creep generate sustained media coverage and erode trust in the procurement function.
50 cited matches · $5.6B at stake
The dataset shows 50 federal contracts where the current value is ≥3× the original commitment, totalling $5.6B in current spend. 50 are in the highest severity band (≥10× growth). Departments with formal amendment-cap policies (typically 2× or 1.5× over a multi-year window) would surface these for re-procurement before the threshold is crossed. The recommendation is grounded in 50 pattern-detector matches across the federal corpus. Each cited match links back to specific source rows; an auditor walking the citation can verify every dollar in the headline.
| Source | Row | Field | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| fed.grants_contributions | 235-2018-2019-Q2-00062 | growth_ratio | 630.45 |
| fed.grants_contributions | 235-2018-2019-Q2-00062 | final_value | 149,643,247.11 |
| fed.grants_contributions | 141-2020-2021-Q1-00188 | growth_ratio | 613.10 |
| fed.grants_contributions | 141-2020-2021-Q1-00188 | final_value | 342,558,728 |
| fed.grants_contributions | GC-2018-Q4-00025 | growth_ratio | 327.68 |
| fed.grants_contributions | GC-2018-Q4-00025 | final_value | 106,725,703.15 |
Confidence rationale. Calibrated from 50 cited matches at flag severity. Confidence increases with match volume and severity; the snapshot pipeline rebuilds nightly.